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03-01-2020 12:57

Consumer Price Index: December 2019

Inflation 0,7%

In December 2019, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0,17 units and reached 101,43 units compared to 101,60 units in November 2019. Compared to December 2018, the CPI increased by 0,7%. (Table 1)

For the period January-December 2019, the CPI increased by 0,3% compared to the corresponding period of the previous year.

 

With regard to the economic origin, the largest positive change when compared to December 2018 was recorded in Agricultural Products with a percentage of 4,2%, while a negative change  of 4,5% was observed in Electricity. In comparison to the previous month, Electricity recorded the highest change at -1,5%.

Analysis of percentage changes

Compared to December 2018, the categories Communication and Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages recorded the largest changes with percentages of 2,6% and 1,8% respectively.(Table 1)

In comparison to the CPI of the previous month, the largest change was noted in Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels (-0,5%). (Table 1)

For the period between January–December 2019, compared to the corresponding period of the previous year, the largest changes were recorded in Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels (3,6%) and Transport (-3%).  (Table 1)

Analysis of effects in units

Compared to the Index of December 2018, the category Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (0,34)had the largest effect on the change of the CPI. (Table 3)

The category Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels (-0,06) had the largest effect on the change of the CPI compared to the previous month. (Table 3)

Fresh vegetables (0,27) had the most notable effect on the change of the CPI of December 2019 compared to December 2018. (Table 4)

Finally, electricity had the largest effect of -0,06 units on the change of the CPI of December 2019 compared to the previous month. (Table 5)

Table 1

Categories of Goods and Services

CPI (2015=100)

Change (%)

November  2019

December 2019

Dec 19/ Dec 18

Dec 19/ Nov 19

Jan- Dec 19/ Jan- Dec 18

Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages

100,40

100,27

1,80

-0,13

0,54

Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco

97,92

97,56

0,13

-0,37

0,39

Clothing and Footwear

105,15

105,11

-1,00

-0,04

-0,55

Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels

110,98

110,46

-0,33

-0,47

3,64

Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Maintenance of the House

96,41

96,18

0,15

-0,24

0,11

Health

101,58

101,58

-0,27

0,00

-0,27

Transport

97,80

97,65

1,17

-0,15

-3,00

Communication

94,76

94,67

2,60

-0,09

-2,00

Recreation and Culture

99,93

99,85

0,16

-0,08

0,19

Education

106,79

106,79

1,70

0,00

1,82

Restaurants and Hotels

104,83

104,79

1,21

-0,04

1,61

Miscellaneous Goods and Services

100,27

100,01

0,44

-0,26

0,93

General Consumer Price Index

101,60

101,43

0,71

-0,17

0,25

 

Table 2

Economic Origin

Weights

Change (%)

Dec 19/ Dec 18

Dec 19/ Nov 19

General Index

10000

0,71

-0,17

Agricultural goods

655

4,15

0,88

Industrial goods (excl. petroleum products)

4195

-0,67

-0,39

Electricity

319

-4,46

-1,48

Petroleum products

550

0,60

0,12

Water

57

0,00

0,00

Services

4224

1,97

-0,10

 

Table 3

Categories of Goods and Services

Weights

Effect (units)

Dec 19/ Dec 18

Dec 19/ Nov 19

Food and non-alcoholic beverages

1906

0,34

-0,02

Alcoholic beverages, tobacco

347

0,00

-0,01

Clothing and footwear

721

-0,08

0,00

Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels

1119

-0,04

-0,06

Furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house

644

0,01

-0,01

Health

637

-0,02

0,00

Transport

1524

0,17

-0,02

Communication

439

0,11

0,00

Recreation and culture

575

0,01

0,00

Education

392

0,07

0,00

Restaurants and hotels

836

0,10

0,00

Miscellaneous goods and services

860

0,04

-0,02

General Consumer Price Index

10000

0,72

-0,17

Note: Totals are calculated on the basis of the effects of the categories with infinite decimal figures and rounded up to two decimals when published. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding error. 

 

Table 4

Goods/Services

Effect (units)

Dec 19/ Dec 18

Positive effect

 

Fresh vegetables

0,27

Fresh fruits

0,17

Mobile telephony

0,12

Other goods and services

0,48

Negative effect

 

Electricity

-0,18

Potatoes

-0,15

TOTAL

0,71

 

Table5

Goods/Services

Effect (units)

Dec  19/ Nov 19

Negative effect

 

Electricity

-0,06

Air tickets

-0,05

Other goods and services

-0,06

TOTAL

-0,17

Methodological notes

Definitions

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is compiled to measure the changes of prices over time of consumer goods and services acquired, used or paid by households. Specifically, the national CPI of Cyprus covers the consumption expenses of specific goods and services (shopping basket of goods and services), of the resident households and of the households that intend to live in Cyprus for at least one year. CPI is the official index for the estimation of inflation.

The Inflation shows the change of the CPI when compared with the index of the corresponding month of the previous year.

The Effect represents the amount of the overall change in the General Index which is accounted for by any given category.

Collection

The price collection is carried out only in urban districts of Nicosia, Larnaca, Limassol and Paphos. For each city, the fluctuations in the product prices each month, are weighted according to their population. Specifically, the weights for the four districts are: Nicosia 42%, Limassol 30%, Larnaca 18% and Paphos 10%.

The prices of 805 goods and services are recorded once every month, except for some seasonal products (e.g vegetables and fruits), meat and fuels, whose prices are collected every week (every Thursday).

Base year

The index reference period was 2005=100 for the period between January 2006 and December 2015. From January 2016 and onwards, the base year is 2015=100.

Classification                                                                                                                 

Until December 2015, COICOP 4 classification was used for the calculation and the dissemination of the CPI. From January 2016 and onwards, CYSTAT is adopting the ECOICOP classification satisfying relevant Eurostat’s Regulation. In other words, the lowest level of detail for the classification used in CPI is COICOP 5-digits.

Products/Services and weights

From January 2018 and onwards, the products included in the CPI as well as their corresponding weights have been revised. The revision was based on the results of the Household Budget Survey 2015/2016.

Further information:

Statistical Service (CYSTAT) Website, subtheme Consumer Price Index

Contact

Constandia Papageorgiou: Tel: +35722602116, Email: cpapageorgiou@cystat.mof.gov.cy

Andri Eftychiou: Τel: +35725878595, Email: aeftychiou@cystat.mof.gov.cy

(AH)